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2024-12-13 04:40:19
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Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.Bonds are almost in a bearish state. Many brokers expect the Bank of China to cut interest rates next year, and the yield of 10-year government bonds may be around 1.8%. According to the Shanghai Stock Exchange, from the perspective of many institutions in 2025, the central bank's interest rate cuts will continue. Many institutions believe that in this context, the yield of 10-year government bonds will also fall to around 1.8%. Tan Yiming, a fixed-income analyst at Minsheng Securities, believes that this year's monetary policy framework reform has been promoted, and the 7-day reverse repo rate, as the main policy interest rate, has become the starting point of the interest rate transmission mechanism. It is expected that there will be one or two interest rate cuts in 2025, and the 7-day reverse repo rate will be lowered by about 20 to 40 basis points, and the 10-year government bond yield will be 1.7% to 1.8%.The achievements of China's international cooperation in desertification control were unveiled at COP16. On the 9th, the China Pavilion of the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16) held a side event with the theme of "Green Technology, Green Future" to share the successful experience of China's international cooperation in desertification control.


Economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee will hold a meeting on December 9th. At the meeting, the deployment arrangements for economic work in 2025 have attracted much attention from the market. In particular, the meeting has many new expressions that positively set the tone for next year's macro policies, which has stimulated the market's expectation for the introduction of more relaxed incremental policies and stronger support for economic development next year. "Implementing a moderately loose monetary policy" is the first time in 14 years. It is expected that the central bank will take greater efforts to cut interest rates and lower the RRR next year; "Implementing a more active fiscal policy" is positive and proactive, and the direction of fiscal overweight is beyond traditional investment and people's livelihood, and it will further increase consumption and real estate. Looking forward to 2025, economists and market institutions believe that the economic growth target will remain at around 5.0% next year. Li Chao, deputy director and spokesperson of the Policy Research Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, said earlier that more than 300 major reform measures are being accelerated, the innovation-driven development strategy is being implemented in depth, and the real economy and the digital economy, advanced manufacturing and modern service industries are integrating and developing. (Securities Times)At the beginning of the session in Sydney, Australia, on December 10th, Rio Tinto recorded its biggest intraday gain in recent 21 months, Pilbara Mining rose 8.4% to record its best intraday performance in three months, and Latin Resources rose 10%, which was also the biggest intraday gain in three months.On December 9, the top 20 US stock turnover: Apple hit a record high, with a market value exceeding 3.7 trillion US dollars. On Monday, Apple, the fifth US stock turnover, closed up 1.61%, and its share price reached a record high, with a turnover of 10.425 billion US dollars and a market value of about 3.73 trillion US dollars. It is reported that by 2025, a quarter of Apple's iPhone will be produced outside China, and India will become the most likely production base. As a fast-growing market, India has hundreds of millions of potential customers, and Samsung and China brands have launched fierce competition here. According to market research firm IDC, the average price of smartphones in India has risen from $192 in the third quarter of 2020 to $293 in the same period of 2024. Apple's market share increased by nearly 60% from the third quarter of 2023 to 2024, which was partly due to its launch of the old iPhone which was more close to the people. (Global Market Broadcast)


The global central bank's big move at the end of the year is surging in the foreign exchange market, and the end of the year is approaching, and the global central bank has entered an intensive interest rate discussion cycle. In the next two weeks, monetary policy meetings of major central banks around the world will follow one after another-this week, many central banks including the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada, the Reserve Bank of Australia, and the Swiss National Bank will announce interest rate resolutions; Next week, the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also take turns to stir up the market. (SSE)The suspect involved in the murder of new york, CEO of American insurance giant, was arrested in Pennsylvania. According to foreign media reports, a 26-year-old man was arrested in Altoona, Pennsylvania on Monday, and the new york police regarded him as the person involved in the shooting of Brian Thompson, a joint health insurance executive, in Manhattan. Thompson, 50, died after being shot in the back and legs outside the Hilton Hotel in downtown new york. Police said it was a targeted murder. The man named Luigi Mangione was recognized by employees while eating at a local McDonald's restaurant. The police said that he had a declaration, multiple false identities, an untraceable so-called "ghost gun" and a silencer with him. A person familiar with the matter said that the man carried with him a declaration against capitalism and criticizing medical enterprises for seeking profits.The cost performance ratio of dividend asset allocation is once again highlighted, and institutions are optimistic about the current layout window period. On December 9, the three major stock indexes in the A-share market fluctuated and closed down, and the petroleum, petrochemical, steel and public utilities sectors with high dividend characteristics were among the top gainers. According to industry insiders, recently, dividend-related ETFs have been allocated more market funds, and the superimposed long-term interest rate has once again broken through the previous shock center. The price/performance ratio of the high dividend sector, which is not prominent in this round of increase, will once again be highlighted. The end of the year to January next year is the allocation window of high dividend assets. It is recommended to actively seize the opportunities in the direction of banks, coal and other industries. (CSI)

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